tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19669815703376900012024-03-05T00:13:40.942-08:00The StatMan Crothers ReportStatman Crothers is the first paid consultant of FenwayNation. Crothers honed his statistical skills while working as a night watchman at the NECCO wafer factory in Cambridge. He reports from his Mom's basement in Ennui, Kansas.Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1966981570337690001.post-34019505681898199872016-05-24T12:37:00.002-07:002016-05-24T12:38:10.222-07:00David Ortiz 'Limited Edition' Print Not So Limited<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjeqC58dZtwJ2wr3qYh8pnrxR95Zva8qnBnpI6chvLENERDeMg_2ZJCCCCoiI5kS7qFAkWcaqWgeKuWyjwNjbmLrPd-0KYQLH9qGlfcQ1fJsZt8tiQjs1dnIOuPL03YvV2ZkIdruKQwEw0/s1600/screenshot_2114.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="179" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjeqC58dZtwJ2wr3qYh8pnrxR95Zva8qnBnpI6chvLENERDeMg_2ZJCCCCoiI5kS7qFAkWcaqWgeKuWyjwNjbmLrPd-0KYQLH9qGlfcQ1fJsZt8tiQjs1dnIOuPL03YvV2ZkIdruKQwEw0/s320/screenshot_2114.png" width="320" /></a></div>
My bosses at <i>FenwayNation</i> have asked me to look into the claim that tonight's Fenway Park "giveaway" is—<b><i>in fact</i></b>— a limited edition. Here's what the Red Sox say:<i> "The first 15,000 fans in attendance will receive an exclusive canvas print of David Ortiz commemorating his remarkable and historic Red Sox career."</i> OK, let's break this down with cold, hard statistics—the way I like it. First of all, as everyone knows, there are more "exclusive canvas prints" than the 15,000 that are supposedly being given to those lucky fans. Scores of "insider" employees at the park get their paws on these if they want—so there are probably <i>thousands</i> more than the '15,000' on hand. So, just how limited does this make the 'print'? Well, let's put it this way: if it were hanging in the Gardner Museum, no one would want to steal it. 'Nuf Ced.Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1966981570337690001.post-72296732925336054522013-08-15T07:37:00.001-07:002013-08-15T07:41:03.804-07:00Probability Of Rajai Davis' 'Inside-The-Errors' HR<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
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After last night's unique "home run" by Toronto's <b>Rajaj Davis</b>, my employers asked me to calculate the probability of such an event occurring in a major league baseball game. To recount the event, Davis came to the plate with two outs in the bottom of the third inning at the <i>Rogers Centre</i> last night. Then, he "singled" on a sharp ground ball to <b>Jon Lester</b>. Lester, after deflecting the ball, picked it up and threw wildly to first. The ball caromed around in right field, where <b>Shane Victorino</b> made another throwing error toward third. That got away enough to allow Davis to score. Utilizing my <b>Texas Instruments TI-1795SV</b> calculator and our proprietary <i><b>"Fausto Carmona" </b></i>software program, we have determined that the chances of this event occurring again are 750,342,856 to 1. For ease of comparison, these odds are roughly the same as <b>Alex Rodriguez <i>not</i></b> being on PEDs when he plays at Fenway Park tomorrow night. Thank you for your kind attention. I'll be in my Mom's basement if you need me.Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1966981570337690001.post-1528350121232775632012-12-26T11:53:00.000-08:002012-12-26T11:53:26.536-08:00How Does Hanrahan Meaure Up With Statman?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhPMfsPfqUYtQaAx27in3ZCJPVngsqeS9WX25-Sd6tmgeGitwS6njj1dD_v2cVeOKf2bHyoQh8BGPXgG9raPtasLvgkfKnpPob3xhsVaq-_G7pmtaXK9vir2Jgt1EOciWLq2OiisWP2a8U/s1600/cr222.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="145" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhPMfsPfqUYtQaAx27in3ZCJPVngsqeS9WX25-Sd6tmgeGitwS6njj1dD_v2cVeOKf2bHyoQh8BGPXgG9raPtasLvgkfKnpPob3xhsVaq-_G7pmtaXK9vir2Jgt1EOciWLq2OiisWP2a8U/s200/cr222.jpg" width="200" /></a></div>
With the acquisition of soon-to-be Red Sox closer <b>Joel Hanrahan</b>, my bosses at FenwayNation have asked me to perform my statistical wizardry on the newcomer. First, I applied my best proprietary measure of pitching effectiveness to Hanrahan's career stats. The measure in question is, of course, <i><b>CRAP (Crothers Reduction Above Pitching)</b></i>. Essentially, the formula takes into account: innings pitched, hits allowed, and the frequency of rosin bag application to the pitching hand. Using this formulation, we arrived at a CRAP score of 100.53. The average for <i>all</i> relief pitchers in 2012 was 73.76. Thus, Hanrahan comes in with a <i><b>CRAPS Above Replacements (CRAP-AR)</b></i> score of 26.77—which means that...uh, we're not exactly sure what that means, but we'll get back to you.Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1966981570337690001.post-13899746547040701932012-06-29T08:41:00.003-07:002012-06-29T08:41:44.132-07:00The Great Dalton Jones Average Experiment<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiNgq17De0kL_G-JIrKuraklJTw7NEY8HD53YoP0Zu_KyXz2DMr1Gt81h9VHagNf9kYQl8QrlxPBJGcw08IUrC9vF2Id_hrOEggNE0Q4ZqN3-ZLTjQ3LkBSFnak9GokML5pUVvwjNLpEPs/s1600/DJIA_NEW.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" height="70" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiNgq17De0kL_G-JIrKuraklJTw7NEY8HD53YoP0Zu_KyXz2DMr1Gt81h9VHagNf9kYQl8QrlxPBJGcw08IUrC9vF2Id_hrOEggNE0Q4ZqN3-ZLTjQ3LkBSFnak9GokML5pUVvwjNLpEPs/s200/DJIA_NEW.jpg" width="200" /></a></div>
For several years, FenwayNation has featured a unique device to track the level of confidence in The Olde Towne Team. <b>The Dalton Jones Industrial Average (or DJIA)</b>
is a composite Index that measures the "Mood Of The Nation" via a
select panel of 50 members worldwide. Historically, it's been a pretty
good barometer of confidence in the Red Sox. This month, we're opening
up voting on the DJIA to <i><b>both</b></i> the Panel <i><b>and</b></i>
our general readership. This experiment is our way to see if confidence
among our panel members is in tune with the broader readership of
FenwayNation. Tricky, huh?<br />
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If you'd like to vote, it's easy. You'll be asked to rate your level of confidence <i><b>for</b><b> the month of June</b></i> on four key metrics—starting pitching, relief pitching, total offense and total defense. The whole thing takes about a minute—<i>honestly</i>. Just click "DONE" when your finished and your votes are automatically sent to FenwayNation.<br />
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To <b>vote</b> in this special Dalton Jones Industrial Average experiment, <b><a href="http://www.surveymonkey.com/s/TJXPKX3" target="_blank">CLICK HERE</a></b>.Unknownnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1966981570337690001.post-62850573053425702262012-06-28T12:05:00.003-07:002012-06-28T13:07:06.813-07:00Welcome To The StatMan Crothers Report!<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="float: right; margin-left: 1em; text-align: right;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjwlKsD3Ygogwx9lcs80GuKXIQtdTWCeDjkzv9KzC16CBJG1w-hCxQ5IY4ysWYKxluGOYLX4AePvThptB6te_GO07eiss8AwyxjoKoO4bGk_BxJ6Po3mxLxTDpZtGJFj8MRwExeAREFOqg/s1600/Gamestop--Coupon1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="115" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjwlKsD3Ygogwx9lcs80GuKXIQtdTWCeDjkzv9KzC16CBJG1w-hCxQ5IY4ysWYKxluGOYLX4AePvThptB6te_GO07eiss8AwyxjoKoO4bGk_BxJ6Po3mxLxTDpZtGJFj8MRwExeAREFOqg/s200/Gamestop--Coupon1.jpg" width="200" /></a></td></tr>
<tr style="color: black;"><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b>My Future Paycheck (Ha! Ha!)</b></td></tr>
</tbody></table>
Hello, my name is <b>StatMan Crothers</b> (that's me in that cool picture
over there). I'm pleased to join the staff of FenwayNation as the lead
statistical consultant for the site. I have been assured that I will be
paid for my services* with negotiable coupons from GameStop. How cool is
that? I look forward to sharing with you my thoughts on all the little
interesting statistical quirks about the Red Sox. The way I look at it,
that's what makes baseball so much fun—lots of neat scatter plots and
regression analyses. Yes! Hopefully, this "gig" will get me noticed by
the front office over there on Yawkey Way. Keep your fingers crossed! <br />
<br />
<b><span style="color: red;">*Editor's Note: No salary agreement has been reached with StatMan Crothers.</span></b>Unknownnoreply@blogger.com